Prelims2
Welterweight
Jason High vs Anthony Lapsley
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jason High
Anthony Lapsley
60%
40%
Why
32
Age
Δ 2y
34
W1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
High: 5 sig / 4 TD ·
Lapsley: 8 sig / 0 TD
Jason High
Anthony Lapsley
27
Sig strikes landed
34
73
Sig strikes attempted
69
42
Total strikes landed
52
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.2
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
173s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jason High
"The Kansas City Bandit"
22-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—
Blue corner
Anthony Lapsley
"The Recipe"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34