Back to UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Will Campuzano vs Sergio Pettis

UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Will Campuzano
Sergio Pettis
32% 68%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
28
Age
Δ 7y
20
L2
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Campuzano: 41 sig / 4 TD · Pettis: 81 sig / 2 TD
Will Campuzano
Sergio Pettis
33
Sig strikes landed
43
85
Sig strikes attempted
86
48
Total strikes landed
60
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
136s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Will Campuzano

14-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
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L The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP …
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Blue corner

Sergio Pettis

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
20