Prelims1
Bantamweight
Erik Perez vs Edwin Figueroa
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Erik Perez
Edwin Figueroa
79%
21%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
24
Age
Δ 5y
29
17-7
Career record
Δ 11 pp
9-6
L1
Current streak
L2
4
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Perez: 50 sig / 7 TD ·
Figueroa: 18 sig / 0 TD
Erik Perez
Edwin Figueroa
34
Sig strikes landed
24
74
Sig strikes attempted
63
54
Total strikes landed
34
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
186s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Erik Perez
"Goyito"
17-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
W
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
—
Blue corner
L2
Edwin Figueroa
"El Feroz"
9-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
L
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
W
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Da…
—