Prelims2
Light Heavyweight
Cody Donovan vs Gian Villante
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Cody Donovan
Gian Villante
50%
50%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
8-6
Career record
Δ 4 pp
17-15
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Donovan: 51 sig / 0 TD ·
Villante: 43 sig / 1 TD
Cody Donovan
Gian Villante
33
Sig strikes landed
22
55
Sig strikes attempted
37
46
Total strikes landed
37
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.7
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
123s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Cody Donovan
"Donnybrook"
8-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
Blue corner
L1
Gian Villante
17-15
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—