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George Sotiropoulos vs KJ Noons

UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 ·Toyota Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
George Sotiropoulos
KJ Noons
60% 40%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
36
Age
Δ 5y
31
14-8
Career record
Δ 7 pp
13-10
L3
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sotiropoulos: 50 sig / 1 TD · Noons: 56 sig / 0 TD
George Sotiropoulos
KJ Noons
41
Sig strikes landed
46
107
Sig strikes attempted
103
58
Total strikes landed
53
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.3
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.70
161s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

George Sotiropoulos

14-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
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L UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
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L UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
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W UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
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W UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
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Blue corner
L1

KJ Noons

"King"
13-10 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
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