Main
Lightweight
Francisco Trinaldo vs Piotr Hallmann
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader
·Mineirinho Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Francisco Trinaldo
Piotr Hallmann
60%
40%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
35
Age
Δ 9y
26
W2
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Trinaldo: 22 sig / 1 TD ·
Hallmann: 42 sig / 2 TD
Francisco Trinaldo
Piotr Hallmann
24
Sig strikes landed
23
49
Sig strikes attempted
52
42
Total strikes landed
41
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
159s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
33%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
29-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—
L
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
Blue corner
Piotr Hallmann
"Pletwal"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26