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Joao Zeferino vs Elias Silverio

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader ·Mineirinho Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Joao Zeferino
Elias Silverio
60% 40%
Why
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zeferino: 11 sig / 1 TD · Silverio: 49 sig / 1 TD
Joao Zeferino
Elias Silverio
28
Sig strikes landed
34
67
Sig strikes attempted
65
45
Total strikes landed
52
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
113s
Control time
103s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Joao Zeferino

"The Brazilian Samurai"
21-10
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
Blue corner

Elias Silverio

"Xuxu"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27