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Keith Wisniewski vs Ivan Jorge

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader ·Mineirinho Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Keith Wisniewski
Ivan Jorge
41% 59%
Why
32
Age
Δ 1y
33
L2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Wisniewski: 42 sig / 0 TD · Jorge: 69 sig / 2 TD
Keith Wisniewski
Ivan Jorge
34
Sig strikes landed
31
72
Sig strikes attempted
66
57
Total strikes landed
54
1.5
Takedowns landed
2.2
4.5
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
191s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Keith Wisniewski

"The Polish Connection"
28-16-1
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
L UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—
Blue corner

Ivan Jorge

"Batman"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33