Back to UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader
Prelims2 Welterweight

Yuri Villefort vs Sean Spencer

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader ·Mineirinho Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Yuri Villefort
Sean Spencer
62% 38%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
22
Age
Δ 4y
26
10-6
Career record
Δ 1 pp
12-7
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Villefort: 69 sig / 1 TD · Spencer: 99 sig / 0 TD
Yuri Villefort
Sean Spencer
40
Sig strikes landed
33
96
Sig strikes attempted
85
59
Total strikes landed
55
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.3
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
154s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Yuri Villefort

10-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
Blue corner
L1

Sean Spencer

"Black Magic"
12-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
—