Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Roland Delorme
Alex Caceres
46%
54%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
30
Age
Δ 4y
25
10-5
Career record
Δ 8 pp
21-15
W3
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Delorme: 47 sig / 1 TD ·
Caceres: 106 sig / 0 TD
Roland Delorme
Alex Caceres
24
Sig strikes landed
33
53
Sig strikes attempted
63
43
Total strikes landed
46
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.7
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
185s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Roland Delorme
10-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
W
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
Blue corner
W2
Alex Caceres
"Bruce Leeroy"
21-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
7 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
L
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—
W
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Sa…
—
L
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—