Main
Middleweight
Constantinos Philippou vs Francis Carmont
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
·Scotiabank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Constantinos Philippou
Francis Carmont
42%
58%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 5"
78"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
14-5
Career record
Δ 5 pp
26-12
W5
Current streak
W5
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Philippou: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Carmont: 29 sig / 5 TD
Constantinos Philippou
Francis Carmont
25
Sig strikes landed
34
76
Sig strikes attempted
79
36
Total strikes landed
46
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
115s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Constantinos Philippou
14-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—
W
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
W
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
W
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
Blue corner
W5
Francis Carmont
"Limitless"
26-12
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
W
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—