Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
John Makdessi
Renee Forte
58%
42%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
28
Age
Δ 2y
26
19-9
Career record
Δ 1 pp
9-4
W2
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Makdessi: 20 sig / 0 TD ·
Forte: 7 sig / 0 TD
John Makdessi
Renee Forte
51
Sig strikes landed
45
104
Sig strikes attempted
110
70
Total strikes landed
59
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.8
0.7
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
39s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
John Makdessi
"The Bull"
19-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
L
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
L
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
W
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
—
Blue corner
W1
Renee Forte
9-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDona…
—
L
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—