Prelims1
Middleweight
Dylan Andrews vs Papy Abedi
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
·Bankers Life Fieldhouse
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dylan Andrews
Papy Abedi
78%
22%
Why
34
Age
Δ 1y
35
19-7
Career record
Δ 0 pp
11-4
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Andrews: 20 sig / 2 TD ·
Abedi: 19 sig / 3 TD
Dylan Andrews
Papy Abedi
28
Sig strikes landed
13
50
Sig strikes attempted
21
41
Total strikes landed
18
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
242s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Dylan Andrews
"The Villain"
19-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
Blue corner
W1
Papy Abedi
"Makambo"
11-4
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
L
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—