Main
Middleweight
Brad Tavares vs Robert McDaniel
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
·Bankers Life Fieldhouse
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Brad Tavares
Robert McDaniel
35%
65%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
26
Age
Δ 5y
30
22-13
Career record
Δ 12 pp
29-10
W3
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Tavares: 30 sig / 0 TD ·
McDaniel: 14 sig / 1 TD
Brad Tavares
Robert McDaniel
35
Sig strikes landed
36
85
Sig strikes attempted
86
62
Total strikes landed
55
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.3
Takedowns attempted
6.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
128s
Control time
187s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Brad Tavares
22-13
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
L
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
W
UFC 125: Resolution
—
Blue corner
W1
Robert McDaniel
"Bubba"
29-10
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—