Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Manvel Gamburyan
Cole Miller
33%
67%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 6"
73"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29
16-10
Career record
Δ 5 pp
22-11
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gamburyan: 23 sig / 5 TD ·
Miller: 32 sig / 0 TD
Manvel Gamburyan
Cole Miller
35
Sig strikes landed
49
86
Sig strikes attempted
114
55
Total strikes landed
66
2.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.6
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
285s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Manvel Gamburyan
"The Anvil"
16-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
—
L
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
L
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
—
Blue corner
W1
Cole Miller
"Magrinho"
22-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
—
L
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—