Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Urijah Faber
Iuri Alcantara
55%
45%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
34
Age
Δ 1y
33
36-11
Career record
Δ 2 pp
36-10
W2
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Faber: 54 sig / 4 TD ·
Alcantara: 8 sig / 1 TD
Urijah Faber
Iuri Alcantara
34
Sig strikes landed
37
81
Sig strikes attempted
86
58
Total strikes landed
48
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.5
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
211s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Urijah Faber
"The California Kid"
36-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
L
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
W
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
—
L
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
Blue corner
W1
Iuri Alcantara
"Marajo"
36-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
L
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
W
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
—
W
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—