Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Uriah Hall
John Howard
55%
45%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 8"
72"
29
Age
Δ 2y
30
18-12
Career record
Δ 3 pp
24-14
L1
Current streak
L3
1
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Hall: 41 sig / 2 TD ·
Howard: 33 sig / 2 TD
Uriah Hall
John Howard
34
Sig strikes landed
22
60
Sig strikes attempted
47
59
Total strikes landed
55
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.0
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
90s
Control time
205s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
39%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Uriah Hall
"Prime Time"
18-12
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
Blue corner
L3
John Howard
"Doomsday"
24-14
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
—
L
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
L
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
W
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
—