Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Frank Mir
Josh Barnett
18%
82%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 1"
78"
34
Age
Δ 2y
36
L2
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Mir: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Barnett: 26 sig / 0 TD
Frank Mir
Josh Barnett
22
Sig strikes landed
26
48
Sig strikes attempted
49
35
Total strikes landed
47
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
119s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Frank Mir
18-12
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
L
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
—
W
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
W
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
—
W
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop
—
Blue corner
Josh Barnett
"The Warmaster"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36