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Ednaldo Oliveira vs Francimar Barroso

UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung ·Farmasi Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Ednaldo Oliveira
Francimar Barroso
65% 35%
Why
30
Age
Δ 4y
33
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Oliveira: 19 sig / 0 TD · Barroso: 31 sig / 2 TD
Ednaldo Oliveira
Francimar Barroso
42
Sig strikes landed
33
128
Sig strikes attempted
71
50
Total strikes landed
50
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.9
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
52s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Ednaldo Oliveira

"Lula"
17-4-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
—
Blue corner

Francimar Barroso

"Bodao"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33