Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Viscardi Andrade
Bristol Marunde
73%
27%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
29
Age
Δ 2y
31
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Andrade: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Marunde: 0 sig / 0 TD
Viscardi Andrade
Bristol Marunde
39
Sig strikes landed
24
75
Sig strikes attempted
65
57
Total strikes landed
43
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
110s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Viscardi Andrade
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
L1
Bristol Marunde
16-11
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
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