Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rani Yahya
Josh Clopton
81%
19%
Why
29
Age
Δ 3y
32
29-12-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
6-3-1
W2
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yahya: 14 sig / 2 TD ·
Clopton: 5 sig / 0 TD
Rani Yahya
Josh Clopton
29
Sig strikes landed
13
52
Sig strikes attempted
28
83
Total strikes landed
35
2.6
Takedowns landed
0.4
6.5
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
305s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Rani Yahya
29-12-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
—
L
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
Blue corner
L1
Josh Clopton
"The Gentleman"
6-3-1
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—