Back to UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Julie Kedzie vs Germaine de Randamie

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga ·Climate Pledge Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Julie Kedzie
Germaine de Randamie
47% 53%
Why
32
Age
Δ 3y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Kedzie: 28 sig / 2 TD · de Randamie: 50 sig / 0 TD
Julie Kedzie
Germaine de Randamie
38
Sig strikes landed
40
73
Sig strikes attempted
86
72
Total strikes landed
68
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
179s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Julie Kedzie

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner

Germaine de Randamie

"The Iron Lady"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29