Main
Featherweight
Rony Jason vs Mike Wilkinson
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
·Paulo Sarasate Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Rony Jason
Mike Wilkinson
61%
39%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 7"
66"
29
Age
Δ 4y
26
15-7
Career record
Δ 3 pp
10-4
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Jason: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Wilkinson: 4 sig / 1 TD
Rony Jason
Mike Wilkinson
49
Sig strikes landed
44
114
Sig strikes attempted
117
62
Total strikes landed
59
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.4
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
171s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Rony Jason
15-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Mike Wilkinson
"The Warrior"
10-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—