Main
Featherweight
Frankie Edgar vs Charles Oliveira
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Frankie Edgar
Charles Oliveira
18%
82%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
32
Age
Δ 8y
24
23-12-1
Career record
Δ 12 pp
37-12
L3
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Edgar: 81 sig / 2 TD ·
Oliveira: 38 sig / 0 TD
Frankie Edgar
Charles Oliveira
35
Sig strikes landed
47
98
Sig strikes attempted
121
63
Total strikes landed
55
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
185s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
34%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Frankie Edgar
"The Answer"
23-12-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
L
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—
L
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
—
D
UFC 125: Resolution
—
Blue corner
L1
Charles Oliveira
"Do Bronxs"
37-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
8 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
L
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
L
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—