🏆 Title fight
Main
Middleweight
Anderson Silva vs Chris Weidman
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Anderson Silva
Chris Weidman
79%
21%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 1"
78"
38
Age
Δ 9y
29
35-11
Career record
Δ 8 pp
17-8
W6
Current streak
W5
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Silva: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Weidman: 16 sig / 1 TD
Anderson Silva
Chris Weidman
31
Sig strikes landed
30
60
Sig strikes attempted
72
35
Total strikes landed
35
0.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
0.1
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
30s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Anderson Silva
"The Spider"
35-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—
W
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
W
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—
W
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—
Blue corner
W5
Chris Weidman
"The All-American"
17-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
W
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
W
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—