Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Mark Munoz
Tim Boetsch
54%
46%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
35
Age
Δ 3y
32
14-7
Career record
Δ 7 pp
21-14
L1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Munoz: 69 sig / 5 TD ·
Boetsch: 23 sig / 1 TD
Mark Munoz
Tim Boetsch
24
Sig strikes landed
34
55
Sig strikes attempted
69
42
Total strikes landed
50
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
197s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mark Munoz
"The Filipino Wrecking Machine"
14-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
W
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
W
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
W
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
Blue corner
L1
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
21-14
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
W
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
—
W
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
—