Prelims1
Lightweight
Norman Parke vs Kazuki Tokudome
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Norman Parke
Kazuki Tokudome
69%
31%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
26
Age
Δ 0y
26
24-6-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
19-7-1
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Parke: 68 sig / 2 TD ·
Tokudome: 43 sig / 1 TD
Norman Parke
Kazuki Tokudome
43
Sig strikes landed
30
94
Sig strikes attempted
93
61
Total strikes landed
44
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.5
6.3
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
143s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Norman Parke
"Stormin'"
24-6-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
Blue corner
W1
Kazuki Tokudome
19-7-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—