Main
Women's Bantamweight
Alexis Davis vs Rosi Sexton
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
·Canada Life Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alexis Davis
Rosi Sexton
72%
28%
Why
29
Age
Δ 7y
36
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Davis: 44 sig / 0 TD ·
Sexton: 34 sig / 1 TD
Alexis Davis
Rosi Sexton
41
Sig strikes landed
33
86
Sig strikes attempted
67
76
Total strikes landed
63
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
132s
Control time
172s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Alexis Davis
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
Rosi Sexton
"The Surgeon"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36