Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ryan Jimmo
Igor Pokrajac
62%
38%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
32
Age
Δ 3y
34
19-6
Career record
Δ 8 pp
28-13
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jimmo: 65 sig / 1 TD ·
Pokrajac: 12 sig / 0 TD
Ryan Jimmo
Igor Pokrajac
25
Sig strikes landed
20
43
Sig strikes attempted
29
47
Total strikes landed
35
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
215s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ryan Jimmo
"The Big Deal"
19-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDona…
—
W
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
Blue corner
L1
Igor Pokrajac
"The Duke"
28-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
8 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
W
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP …
—