Prelims1
Welterweight
Sean Pierson vs Kenny Robertson
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
·Canada Life Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Sean Pierson
Kenny Robertson
40%
60%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
37
Age
Δ 8y
29
15-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
16-5
W2
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Pierson: 36 sig / 0 TD ·
Robertson: 65 sig / 1 TD
Sean Pierson
Kenny Robertson
33
Sig strikes landed
35
73
Sig strikes attempted
83
53
Total strikes landed
51
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.2
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
139s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Sean Pierson
"The Punisher"
15-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
—
L
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
L
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
—
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Kenny Robertson
16-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
L
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—