Prelims1
Bantamweight
Roland Delorme vs Edwin Figueroa
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
·Canada Life Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Roland Delorme
Edwin Figueroa
58%
42%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
9-5
Career record
Δ 4 pp
9-6
W2
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Delorme: 22 sig / 6 TD ·
Figueroa: 42 sig / 0 TD
Roland Delorme
Edwin Figueroa
36
Sig strikes landed
23
74
Sig strikes attempted
55
53
Total strikes landed
33
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
133s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Roland Delorme
9-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
Blue corner
L1
Edwin Figueroa
"El Feroz"
9-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
W
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Da…
—