Prelims1
Featherweight
Dennis Bermudez vs Max Holloway
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dennis Bermudez
Max Holloway
29%
71%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 3"
69"
26
Age
Δ 5y
22
18-9
Career record
Δ 9 pp
28-9
W3
Current streak
W3
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Bermudez: 73 sig / 4 TD ·
Holloway: 75 sig / 0 TD
Dennis Bermudez
Max Holloway
54
Sig strikes landed
60
137
Sig strikes attempted
151
68
Total strikes landed
73
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.1
6.3
Takedowns attempted
0.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
139s
Control time
16s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Dennis Bermudez
"The Menace"
18-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
W
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—
W
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
Blue corner
W3
Max Holloway
"Blessed"
28-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
—
L
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—