Back to The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Prelims1 Middleweight

Dylan Andrews vs Jimmy Quinlan

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale ·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Dylan Andrews
Jimmy Quinlan
66% 34%
Why
33
Age
Δ 6y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Andrews: 20 sig / 0 TD · Quinlan: 7 sig / 1 TD
Dylan Andrews
Jimmy Quinlan
37
Sig strikes landed
30
71
Sig strikes attempted
66
50
Total strikes landed
40
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
130s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Dylan Andrews

"The Villain"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
Blue corner

Jimmy Quinlan

"Crash"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27