Prelims2
Featherweight
Sam Sicilia vs Maximo Blanco
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sam Sicilia
Maximo Blanco
68%
32%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
27
Age
Δ 2y
30
15-9
Career record
Δ 8 pp
12-9-1
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sicilia: 26 sig / 1 TD ·
Blanco: 52 sig / 2 TD
Sam Sicilia
Maximo Blanco
39
Sig strikes landed
33
91
Sig strikes attempted
82
52
Total strikes landed
44
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.4
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
141s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Sam Sicilia
15-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
—
Blue corner
L1
Maximo Blanco
"Maxi"
12-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—