Prelims2
Featherweight
Cole Miller vs Bart Palaszewski
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Cole Miller
Bart Palaszewski
38%
62%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
21-12
Career record
Δ 3 pp
36-18
L2
Current streak
L2
6
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Miller: 5 sig / 1 TD ·
Palaszewski: 18 sig / 0 TD
Cole Miller
Bart Palaszewski
52
Sig strikes landed
42
123
Sig strikes attempted
107
64
Total strikes landed
50
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
64s
Control time
50s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Cole Miller
"Magrinho"
21-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
—
L
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
Blue corner
L2
Bart Palaszewski
"Bartimus"
36-18
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—
L
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—