Prelims1
Lightweight
Reza Madadi vs Michael Johnson
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Reza Madadi
Michael Johnson
54%
46%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
35
Age
Δ 8y
27
14-7
Career record
Δ 12 pp
25-21
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Madadi: 34 sig / 4 TD ·
Johnson: 20 sig / 0 TD
Reza Madadi
Michael Johnson
34
Sig strikes landed
38
72
Sig strikes attempted
86
50
Total strikes landed
49
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.7
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
127s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Reza Madadi
"Mad Dog"
14-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
Blue corner
L1
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
25-21
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—
W
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
W
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
L
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—