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Akira Corassani vs Robert Peralta

UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi ·Ericsson Globe
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Akira Corassani
Robert Peralta
38% 62%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
13-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
19-8
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Corassani: 48 sig / 2 TD · Peralta: 67 sig / 0 TD
Akira Corassani
Robert Peralta
34
Sig strikes landed
44
88
Sig strikes attempted
107
37
Total strikes landed
48
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.2
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
30s
Control time
61s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Akira Corassani

13-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—
Blue corner
W2

Robert Peralta

"Problems"
19-8 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 3 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—
W UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
—