Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ryan Couture
Ross Pearson
62%
38%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
31
Age
Δ 2y
28
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Couture: 29 sig / 1 TD ·
Pearson: 28 sig / 1 TD
Ryan Couture
Ross Pearson
43
Sig strikes landed
53
112
Sig strikes attempted
118
51
Total strikes landed
67
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
76s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Ryan Couture
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner
W1
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
21-16
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
L
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
W
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
W
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—