Prelims1
Featherweight
Marcus Brimage vs Conor McGregor
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Marcus Brimage
Conor McGregor
21%
79%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
28
Age
Δ 3y
25
W3
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Brimage: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
McGregor: 21 sig / 0 TD
Marcus Brimage
Conor McGregor
37
Sig strikes landed
57
121
Sig strikes attempted
151
42
Total strikes landed
72
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.3
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
14s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Marcus Brimage
"The Bama Beast"
8-7
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
Blue corner
Conor McGregor
"The Notorious"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25