Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Brad Pickett
Mike Easton
60%
40%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
34
Age
Δ 5y
29
25-15
Career record
Δ 3 pp
13-7
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Pickett: 68 sig / 4 TD ·
Easton: 71 sig / 3 TD
Brad Pickett
Mike Easton
43
Sig strikes landed
44
116
Sig strikes attempted
116
55
Total strikes landed
58
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
77s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Brad Pickett
"One Punch"
25-15
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
L
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
Blue corner
L1
Mike Easton
"The Hulk"
13-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—
W
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
—
W
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—