Prelims1
Flyweight
Joseph Benavidez vs Darren Uyenoyama
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez
·SAP Center at San Jose
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Joseph Benavidez
Darren Uyenoyama
89%
11%
Why
65"
Reach
65"
29
Age
Δ 5y
34
29-8
Career record
Δ 14 pp
11-6
W1
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Benavidez: 57 sig / 2 TD ·
Uyenoyama: 11 sig / 0 TD
Joseph Benavidez
Darren Uyenoyama
32
Sig strikes landed
25
90
Sig strikes attempted
69
44
Total strikes landed
38
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.1
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.00
153s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Joseph Benavidez
29-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
L
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
W
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
Blue corner
W2
Darren Uyenoyama
"BC"
11-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—
W
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Sa…
—