Prelims1
Lightweight
Ramsey Nijem vs Myles Jury
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez
·SAP Center at San Jose
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ramsey Nijem
Myles Jury
32%
68%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
25
Age
Δ 1y
24
10-6
Career record
Δ 19 pp
18-4
W3
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Nijem: 6 sig / 1 TD ·
Jury: 5 sig / 2 TD
Ramsey Nijem
Myles Jury
28
Sig strikes landed
37
72
Sig strikes attempted
88
43
Total strikes landed
58
0.9
Takedowns landed
2.3
2.8
Takedowns attempted
5.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
82s
Control time
232s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Ramsey Nijem
10-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
W
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
W
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—
Blue corner
W2
Myles Jury
"Fury"
18-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
—