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Anthony Njokuani vs Roger Bowling

UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez ·SAP Center at San Jose
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Anthony Njokuani
Roger Bowling
49% 51%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 8"
68"
33
Age
Δ 3y
30
L1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Njokuani: 26 sig / 0 TD · Bowling: 27 sig / 1 TD
Anthony Njokuani
Roger Bowling
56
Sig strikes landed
50
107
Sig strikes attempted
106
72
Total strikes landed
66
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.0
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
75s
Control time
172s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Anthony Njokuani

"The Assassin"
16-13 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
W UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
L UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
W UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
L UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
Blue corner

Roger Bowling

"Relentless"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30