Prelims1
Bantamweight
TJ Dillashaw vs Hugo Viana
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez
·SAP Center at San Jose
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
TJ Dillashaw
Hugo Viana
79%
21%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
27
Age
Δ 3y
31
19-5
Career record
Δ 10 pp
9-4
W3
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Dillashaw: 21 sig / 1 TD ·
Viana: 11 sig / 0 TD
TJ Dillashaw
Hugo Viana
38
Sig strikes landed
22
81
Sig strikes attempted
56
50
Total strikes landed
28
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.2
5.5
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
185s
Control time
30s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
TJ Dillashaw
19-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Elle…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
Blue corner
W2
Hugo Viana
"Wolverine"
9-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
—
W
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—