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Prelims2 Middleweight

Clifford Starks vs Yoel Romero

UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez ·SAP Center at San Jose
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Clifford Starks
Yoel Romero
68% 32%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
32
Age
Δ 4y
36
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Starks: 3 sig / 0 TD · Romero: 12 sig / 0 TD
Clifford Starks
Yoel Romero
26
Sig strikes landed
28
65
Sig strikes attempted
53
55
Total strikes landed
46
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.3
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
220s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Clifford Starks

13-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—
W UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—
Blue corner

Yoel Romero

"Soldier of God"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36