Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rustam Khabilov
Yancy Medeiros
81%
19%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
26
Age
Δ 1y
26
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 1
Khabilov: 3 sig / 1 TD ·
Medeiros: 4 sig / 0 TD
Rustam Khabilov
Yancy Medeiros
25
Sig strikes landed
15
46
Sig strikes attempted
38
45
Total strikes landed
27
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.2
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
174s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
34%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Rustam Khabilov
"Tiger"
25-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
—
Blue corner
Yancy Medeiros
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26