Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Pat Healy
77%
23%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
W1
Current streak
—
9
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Overturned · Round 3
Miller: 27 sig / 1 TD ·
Healy: 53 sig / 5 TD
Jim Miller
Pat Healy
27
Sig strikes landed
28
69
Sig strikes attempted
71
41
Total strikes landed
44
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
147s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jim Miller
"A-10"
40-19
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
W
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
—
L
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
W
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
Blue corner
Pat Healy
"Bam Bam"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30