Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michael Bisping
Alan Belcher
74%
26%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
75"
34
Age
Δ 5y
29
30-10
Career record
Δ 8 pp
18-9
L1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bisping: 93 sig / 0 TD ·
Belcher: 29 sig / 0 TD
Michael Bisping
Alan Belcher
35
Sig strikes landed
37
95
Sig strikes attempted
91
66
Total strikes landed
47
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
126s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
30-10
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—
W
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
L
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
W
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
Blue corner
L1
Alan Belcher
"The Talent"
18-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
—
W
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
—