Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dan Miller
Jordan Mein
19%
81%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
32
Age
Δ 8y
23
W1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Miller: 11 sig / 1 TD ·
Mein: 29 sig / 0 TD
Dan Miller
Jordan Mein
27
Sig strikes landed
43
77
Sig strikes attempted
86
47
Total strikes landed
56
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
153s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Dan Miller
15-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
W
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
L
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
W
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
—
Blue corner
Jordan Mein
"Young Gun"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23