Main
Middleweight
Yushin Okami vs Hector Lombard
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
·Saitama Super Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Yushin Okami
Hector Lombard
62%
38%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
32
Age
Δ 4y
35
35-12
Career record
Δ 2 pp
35-10-1
W2
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Okami: 37 sig / 3 TD ·
Lombard: 45 sig / 0 TD
Yushin Okami
Hector Lombard
31
Sig strikes landed
24
72
Sig strikes attempted
65
54
Total strikes landed
38
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
164s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Yushin Okami
"Thunder"
35-12
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—
L
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
W
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
Blue corner
W1
Hector Lombard
35-10-1
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
L
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—